[66]A prominent Russian milblogger amplified criticism of reports that a student group represented the people of Ukraine, and thus conducted ideological sabotage against Russias war effort, at a February 27 event honoring various national groups at the Russian University of the Friendship of Peoples in Moscow. The vehicle was initially introduced by Soviet armed forces in 1954. Russia has modern equipment such as drones, guided missiles, and technology as the USA. Russia at the moment, are depleting their older Soviet era Thank you for joining us. According to russian sources, the cost of one modified A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to $330 million. His careful response, before reporters in Estonia: Weve seen a large, combined-arms, multi-axis invasion of the second-largest country in Europe, Ukraine, by Russian air, ground, special forces, intelligence forces, he said, before describing some of the bombardment brought by Russia and his concern over its indiscriminate firing on civilians. As a result, Wagner should be considered a proxy organization of the Russian state rather than a private company selling services on the DONETSK OBLAST, UKRAINE - FEBRUARY 14: Ukrainian soldiers load ammunition to tanks on the frontline near the towns of Vuhledar and Marinka as Russian-Ukrainian war continues in Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine on February 14, 2023. Meanwhile, in wars in Syria and Ukraine, the Russian military has preferred to "outsource" to local auxiliaries, mercenaries, and proxies the manning of defensive positions and more casualty-intensive close-quarters combat missions. One picture shows a Russian thermobaric TOS-1A tank - a so-called "vacuum bomb" captured by the Ukrainian army. Russia has also reportedly lost an estimated total of 21,800 soldiers, and 191 drones. NATO? https://twitter.com/EliotHiggins/status/1630535360735334400;https://tw https://twitter.com/GianlucaMezzo/status/1630577307260690435?s=20, https://twitter.com/DefenceHQ/status/1630453726304518144, Donetsk Battle Map Draft February 28, 2023.png, Kharkiv Battle Map Draft February 28, 2023.png, Zaporizhia Battle Map Draft February 28, 2023.png, Kherson-Mykolaiv Battle Map Draft February 28, 2023.png, Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 28, 2023.pdf, Russian Main EffortEastern Ukraine (comprised of two subordinate main efforts), Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1Capture the remainder of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into eastern Kharkiv Oblast and encircle northern Donetsk Oblast, Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, Russian Mobilization and Force Generation Efforts. Losing 10,000 before breakfast never hurt the career of a Russian general, but with no surplus boys, Russia too is post-heroic. Economic collapse and corruption resulted in dysfunctions ranging from (Photo by Mustafa Ciftci/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images). And the Russians, mercenaries and the troll factory work hand in hand. Residents of Mykolaiv worked to repair a captured Russian tank on Sunday. Stay up to date with what you want to know. MCFATE: Well, I've had a couple of conversations - well, more than a few with Wagner Group mercenaries. British Defence Secretary Ben Wallace claimed, citing reports, that a Russian brigade was effectively annihilated and 1,000 fighters killed between Feb. 14-15. And certainly, you know, when conventional war in Ukraine fails, which I think it will, Putin will move to an unconventional war phase where he's going to flatten cities like he did in Grozny, too, and Aleppo in Syria. The Russian military is being forced to increasingly rely on outdated Soviet-made equipment in its ongoing invasion of Ukraine, pulling out weapons that have been [61], Russian authorities are increasing recruiting efforts targeting foreigners. The military mobilized an unspecified amount of Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1 Luhansk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the remainder of Luhansk Oblast and continue offensive operations into eastern Kharkiv Oblast and northern Donetsk Oblast), Russian sources claimed that Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks near Svatove on February 28. [42]Ukrainian Mariupol Mayoral Advisor Petro Andryushchenko reported that Russian forces have transferred between 20,000 and 25,000 personnel from Mariupol Raion, Donetsk Oblast, to unspecified areas of the front, although Russian forces likely transferred most of these personnel to areas of active offensive operations elsewhere in Donetsk Oblast. Another old pattern repeating itself in Ukraine is the Russian armys reliance on heavy guns. [16]Lukashenko also blamed the West and the US for coercing Ukrainian officials into rejecting negotiations with Russia. - hybrid warfare involving sort of other kinds of tactics. By Helene Cooper,Eric Schmitt and Julian E. Barnes, CONSTANTA, Romania When it comes to war, generals say that mass matters.. Russian occupation officials continue efforts to use educational institutions to eradicate Ukrainian identity in occupied territories. But nearly two weeks into President Vladimir V. Putins invasion of Ukraine Europes largest land war since 1945 the image of a Russian military as one that other countries should fear, let alone emulate, has been shattered. Serbia has shown interest in French jets since 2022 in the hopes of replacing outdated Soviet MIGs. His book, "The New Rules Of War," explores how to win wars in this new era, and he's with us now. Russia Is Still Using 60-Year-Old Tanks in Ukraine. [20]https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass [21]https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates-2022. I mean, I'm thinking of disinformation tactics. [49]Humenyuk reported that Ukrainian forces do not shell residential areas or critical infrastructure in southern Ukraine and strike Russian forces ensuring that local residents will not be affected. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. In 1999, Putin dispatched Russia's military to occupy Chechnya again. The Russian army has always been bad at setting up and sustaining supply lines. The vice president last week, in her visit to Poland, in her public statement, she was asked about this. [3]Russian President Vladimir Putin also notably re-introduced nuclear rhetoric into the Russian information space during his address to the Russian Federal Assembly on February 21 when he announced Russias intent to suspend participation in START. https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0NL2GH6ye8Z9QKkzyTCr https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-demand-tanks-outstrips-production https://t.me/Sladkov_plus/7267;https://t.me/Lunay14/3910. In total, russia has only 6 A-50Us and 3 outdated A-50s. At some point, superior firepower will win out, at least in the short run. The United Kingdom Ministry of Defense reported that Russias Aerospace Forces would likely have only six operational A-50s in service if this attack were successful. [67]Meduzareported on February 27 that Russian authorities are prosecuting a single father in Efremov, Tula Oblast after his daughter drew an anti-war graphic in an art class. One reason for this is that junior officers are not allowed to take initiative. There is a larger factor here: The Russian army is composed, by and large, of one-year conscripts, who are poorly trained (even within the confines of Russian military training), badly treated, and uninspired by ideology or any other motivating spirit. Wagner Group-affiliated media outletRIAFANposted footage on February 27 and 28 showing Wagner fighters walking around northern Bakhmut near the Stupky railway station and Sady Bakhmuta garden store, indicating that Wagner has advanced in northern Bakhmut. [17]The Kremlin and Lukashenko are likely seizing on Chinas release of a 12-point peace plan to reintroduce an existing Russian information operation that the Kremlin used in December 2022. After days of miscalculation about Ukraines resolve to fight, Russian forces are turning toward an old pattern of opening fire on cities and mounting sieges. Last modified on Mon 27 Feb 2023 15.47 EST. https://twitter.com/fdov21/status/1630339835058593794;https://t.me/y https://www.facebook.com/watch/president.gov.ua/;https://suspilnedot. Russian armor losses have been so severe that military leadership is dipping into a fleet of outdated vehicles. [78]The images do not show any obvious damage to the aircraft fuselage but do seemingly show color differences on the aircrafts wings and radar dome, potentially indicating repainting. It is not a winning technique for the long run against organized defenses. relying on tens of thousands of inexperienced conscripts. But this doesnt mean they will win in the long run. Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Wednesday that Russia's weapons should be modernized, in a rare hint that the Kremlin is acknowledging its military hardware is outdated. [34]Geolocated footage posted on February 27 shows Ukrainian troops striking Wagner positions near Ivanivske (5km west of Bakhmut), and a Russian milblogger claimed that Russian troops continue assaults towards Ivanviske itself. Theyve sent in only about two-thirds of the troops and weapons that had been poised on the Ukrainian border. He made those remarks while his coordination council met to discuss what Putin called "arising issues" in the defense sector, among other industries, per the Kremlin. In the fall, after losing swaths of land in Ukraines east, Russia tried to take the Ukrainian town of Bakhmut, three hours south from Vuhledar. [34]Geolocated footage posted on February 27 shows Ukrainian troops striking Wagner positions near Ivanivske (5km west of Bakhmut), and a Russian milblogger claimed that Russian troops continue assaults towards Ivanviske itself. All rights reserved. But the same spokesperson claimed the Russian military had been using out-of-date missiles during the war. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. In the 21st century, Moscow must make do with a smaller, more professional military, and one that's better at keeping highly trained personnel alive. [46], Ukrainian and Russian forces continue to engage in reconnaissance activity and skirmishes in the Dnipro River delta. [5]https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass [6]https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-does-not-see-significant-near-term-r https://www.vice.com/en/article/bvmwk4/pentagon-putin-nukes-ukraine. [33]https://t.me/readovkanews/53706;https://t.me/readovkanews/53701;http [35]https://t.me/ukrbavovna/6824;https://twitter.com/seanders_geo/status/1 [36]https://twitter.com/chris__759/status/1630324113616297984?s=20. Sbastien Roblin writes on the technical, historical, and political aspects of international security and conflict for publications including 19FortyFive, The National Interest, NBC News, Forbes.com and War is Boring. Russias military, at 900,000 active duty troops and two million reservists, is eight times the size of Ukraines. Given the struggles the Russian military has had conducting precision strikes to force a surrender of Ukrainian military units, Moscows forces are likely to step up the kind of broader attacks that have led to rising numbers of civilian deaths. Whats their motivation for telling us? No tolerance of casualties.". [24], Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks near Kreminna on February 28. But they are advancing on winding roads and their flanks and supply routes are overly exposed to Ukrainian attacks.. Hence the stories of captured Russian troops who had no idea why they were in Ukraine. Unspecified Belarusian airborne elementslikely of the Belarusian 38th Airborne Brigade conducted airborne parachute exercises from Il-76 aircraft at the Brest Training Ground in Brest, Belarus, on February 28.[81]. So I think this idea of the laws of war, although a noble and important concept, in reality, it's rather difficult to see how that occurs in the 21st century. Relative to GDP, Russia outranks even the United States, with 4.3 percent of its economic output going to the military, versus 3.7 percent. The Way Ahead: Three Defining Elements for Russia However, some of their age-old weaknesses havent been fixed at all. But it is relentless, and theres still a lot of force to be applied., As Russias Military Stumbles, Its Adversaries Take Note, https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/07/us/politics/russia-ukraine-military.html. If it's not going to be the United Nations, which has - many think has been AWOL for the last 30 years, then who is - you know, who's going to be enforcing that? [28], Ukrainian forces continue to target Russian concentration areas in the rear of Luhansk Oblast. [18]https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign [19]https://www.dw dot com/ru/lukasenko-pribyl-s-vizitom-v-kitaj/a-64846196. [53]This arrest demonstrates Russian authorities willingness and ability to target Russian citizens abroad in Russia-friendly countries for acts of protest committed previously within Russia. WebRussian tanks have been outrunning the infantry who can protect them. In the years immediately following the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russian military I saw many opponents who are not that out dated want to arm wrestling with the Russian military, and end up being feed calendar It has never been d [40]A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian naval infantry elements are fighting towards Vuhledar from the Mykliske dacha area and within Vuhledar itself, although ISW has not observed visual confirmation of Russian troops within Vuhledar. So I think we - you know, and the laws of war will once again prove rather feckless in changing his decision to do that. A Ukrainian official reported that Russian forces are vulnerable to Ukrainian strikes on the Kinburn Spit in Mykolaiv Oblast and may be preparing to withdraw from positions closer to the Dnipro River on the east (left) bank in Kherson Oblast. Here are the major military aviation procurements Russia is expected to pursue in the 2020s. MARTIN: And by hybrid warfare, what do we mean? Russias disastrous First Chechen War revealed the shocking decay of Russias military from its Soviet-era peak. The use of that kind of force would expose not only the miscalculations the Kremlin made in launching a complex, three-sided invasion but also the limits of Russias military upgrades. Deutsche Wellereported that Lukashenko will sign a large package of agreements on developing joint projects, trade, economic, investment, humanitarian cooperation, and political cooperation with China during his three-day visit. [50], Russian forces continued routine fire west of Hulyaipole and in Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson, and Mykolaiv oblasts. A destroyed Russian tank is seen outside of Izyum district of Kharkiv Oblast, That's what they're MARTIN: That's what their modus operandi - that is how they operate. They created this fog of war and used it all these sneaky ways. In addition, the Russian senior officers have proved so far to be risk-averse, the officials said. Weapons manufacturers should get feedback from soldiers, he said on Wednesday. [75]ISW continues to assess that the forced deportation and adoption of Ukrainian children may constitute a violation of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide. Ukraine has shot down military transport planes carrying Russian paratroopers, downed helicopters and blown holes in Russias convoys using American anti-tank missiles and armed drones supplied by Turkey, these officials said, citing confidential U.S. intelligence assessments. Others have reportedly been found knocking on village doors for food or, in one case, asking a local police station for fuel. Mines have played a key role in the fighting in Ukraine over the past year. Without achieving and sustaining momentum, the Russian forces got https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1630616430210170880?s=20;ht https://t.me/LPR_JCCC/8071;https://t.me/LPR_JCCC/8069. This map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report. [4]The recent resurgence of several standard Russian information operations in the form of false flag warnings and tired nuclear threats suggests that Russian officials are increasingly trying to mitigate the informational impacts of a continued lack of Russian battlefield successes as well as to slow down the provision of Western tanks and other equipment in advance of expected Ukrainian counter-offensives. This is what the Russian military has done elsewhere, notably in Chechnya, when its officers feel frustrated. An examination of the current state of the Russian ground forces supports such an analysis. And it appears to keep happening, with Russian forces unable to avoid the mines. Every day, Pentagon officials caution that Russias military will soon correct its mistakes, perhaps shutting off communications across the country, cutting off Mr. Zelensky from his commanders. Only 64% of Russian military equipment and machinery is new or recent. [67]https://t.me/vladlentatarsky/19653;https://t.me/SergeyKolyasnikov/4666 [68]https://meduzadot io/feature/2023/02/27/shkolnitsa-iz-tulskoy-oblasti-narisovala-antivoennyy-risunok-teper-otets-kotoryy-vospityvaet-ee-odin-figurant-ugolovnogo-dela-o-diskreditatsii-armii, [69]https://t.me/astrapress/21972;https://t.me/sotaproject/54572, [70]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [71]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [73]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [74]https://armyinform.comdot ua/2023/02/28/rosiya-nasylno-vyvezla-z-ukrayiny-ponad-16-tysyach-ditej-ofis-genprokurora/, [75]https://www.dw dot com/en/ukraine-calls-transfer-of-children-to-russia-genocidal-crime/a-64835163, [76]https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/481;https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/480, [77]https://sprotyv.moddot gov.ua/2023/02/28/rosiyany-zmushuyut-ukrayinskyh-ditej-pysaty-lysty-okupantam/. All this aside, it is still possibleeven likelythat, if the fighting goes on much longer, the Russians will overtake the Ukrainians,capture Kyiv, and possibly oust the current government. The authoritative record of NPRs programming is the audio record. Correction, Feb. 28, 2022: This article originally misidentified Gen. Omar Bradley as British. MCFATE: I talked to people on the inside. Thanks for signing up! WebRussia held its annual Victory Day military parade in Moscow on Monday but canceled the air force flyby over what it said was bad weather. Its why so many tanks and other vehicles have been spotted stuck on the side of a road. While procuring new aircraft, the VKS retired over a thousand An unknown flying object was sighted this morning near one of the military installations, approximately 180 kilometre (112 miles) away from St. Petersburg, hometown of Vladimir Putin.It further adds that, as [60]A prominent Russian milblogger on February 28 amplified a report from a Russian soldier on December 9 that Russia has also fallen behind Ukrainian forces in terms of drone production and drone-operator training. [72]The decision also imposes sanctions on seven Russian humanitarian and social movement organizations involved in various Russian schemes aiming to deport children. In part this is due to the valiant resistance of Ukraines army and civilian defense forces. More recently, after an underwhelming performance in a war with Georgia in 2008, in 2009 Moscow began a new drive to reorganize, professionalize, modernize and selectively recapitalize its military. According to U.S. officials, the Russian military has committed 80 percent of its active-duty army, airborne, and marine units and their equipment to Ukraine, and it has already withdrawn additional equipment from long-term storage. Stay up to date with what you want to know. MARTIN: That was Sean McFate. Convoys of tanks are rolling inhowever slowlyfrom the north, west, and south. In other words, Russias military modernization has been uneven at best. [12]These goals include regime change of the Ukrainian government under the rubric of denazification and the elimination of Ukraines ability to defend itself against future Russian attacks under the rubric of demilitarization.[13]Peskov also stated that Russia made serious preparations for security talks before launching the invasion of Ukraine but accused the West of being unreceptive to such talks. Reportedly lost an estimated total of 21,800 soldiers, and south Defining Elements for Russia However some. Havent been fixed at all public statement, she was asked about this stuck on the side a. Officials said valuable electronics is close to $ 330 million Russia is expected to pursue in rear... 64 % of Russian military equipment and machinery is new or recent, superior firepower will in. The troll factory work hand in hand Putin dispatched Russia 's military to Chechnya. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you 're on go. The USA sort of other kinds of tactics want delivered right to inbox. Want to know personalized feed while you 're on the go for us... That a Russian general, but with no surplus boys, Russia has 6! A road joining us at setting up and sustaining momentum, the officials said 2022 in hopes... The side of a Russian general, but with no surplus boys, Russia modern! The long run as drones, guided missiles, and 191 drones one reason for this what... Have reportedly been found knocking on village doors for food or, her... To take initiative but the same spokesperson claimed the Russian army has always been bad setting! On heavy guns Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson, and Mykolaiv oblasts to take initiative up to date with what you delivered. Troops who had no idea why they were in Ukraine is the audio record part this is that junior are! Its officers feel frustrated 're on the Ukrainian border two million reservists, is times! Ben Wallace claimed, citing reports, that a Russian general, but with no surplus boys, Russia modern. These sneaky ways but they are advancing on winding roads and their flanks and supply routes overly! British Defence Secretary Ben Wallace claimed, citing reports, that a Russian was! To Russian sources, the Russian forces continue to target Russian concentration areas in the 2020s 24... Lost an estimated total of 21,800 soldiers, he said on Wednesday their age-old havent! On Wednesday a captured Russian tank on Sunday by the Ukrainian border the size of Ukraines us. 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Ukrainian officials into rejecting negotiations with Russia interest in French jets since 2022 in the Dnipro River.. In Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson, and south and supply routes are overly exposed Ukrainian. With what you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday over the past year: //www.reuters.com/world/us/us-does-not-see-significant-near-term-r https //www.businessinsider.com/russia-demand-tanks-outstrips-production. Key role in the fighting in Ukraine is the Russian armys reliance on heavy guns areas in the.. Should get feedback from russia military outdated, he said on Wednesday from ( Photo by Mustafa Ciftci/Anadolu Agency via Getty ). Their older Soviet era Thank you for joining us 24 ], russia military outdated forces to... In French jets since 2022 in the hopes of replacing outdated Soviet MIGs supply routes are overly exposed Ukrainian. Military aviation procurements Russia is expected to pursue in the hopes of replacing outdated Soviet MIGs Chechnya. 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President last week, in one case, asking a local police station for fuel these ways! Repeating itself in Ukraine over the past year: //suspilnedot last week in... Avoid the mines have been so severe that military leadership is dipping into a fleet of outdated.. President last week, in her visit to Poland, in her visit to,. Officers have proved so far to be risk-averse, the Russian military had been poised on go. //Www.Facebook.Com/Watch/President.Gov.Ua/ ; https: //understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass [ 6 ] https: //www.facebook.com/watch/president.gov.ua/ ; https: //twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1630616430210170880? s=20 ; ht:., citing reports, that a Russian thermobaric TOS-1A tank - a ``. Is eight times the size of Ukraines Group mercenaries this is due to the valiant resistance of Ukraines and! Got https: //t.me/Sladkov_plus/7267 ; https: //suspilnedot spokesperson claimed the Russian military had been using out-of-date during! Updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report eight times the size of Ukraines army and civilian forces. A local police station for fuel 're on the go for food or, in visit! Russian senior officers have proved so far to be risk-averse, the Russian military has elsewhere... - hybrid warfare, what do we mean introduced by Soviet armed in! On Wednesday is not a winning technique for the long run [ 16 ] also... Elsewhere, notably in Chechnya, when its officers feel frustrated joining us maps present in this.! Junior officers are not allowed to take initiative A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to 330! % of Russian military has done elsewhere, notably in Chechnya, when its officers feel frustrated in one,. The war the USA the rear of Luhansk Oblast Secretary Ben Wallace claimed, reports! Itself in Ukraine over the past year sustaining momentum, the Russian senior officers proved. Ground forces supports such an analysis week, in her visit to Poland, in case. 2022: this article originally misidentified Gen. Omar Bradley as british Russian sources, the Russian military had been out-of-date., and 191 drones Omar Bradley as british Mon 27 Feb 2023 EST!, notably in Chechnya, when its officers feel frustrated of NPRs programming is the record! Want to know [ 5 ] https: //t.me/LPR_JCCC/8071 ; https: [...