On November 7, 2000, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. [subpost_id] => [6], Inconsistencies among vote data aggregation processes and redistricting cycles can present challenges in determining the PVI. } .inner_percentage.Green { padding-left: 10px; The number of swing seats, defined as those between D+5 and R+5, is 82.[4]. The release of the 2017 PVI ratings reveal powerful insights into the post-Trump electorate. Puede cambiar la configuracin u obtener ms informacin pinchando en el siguiente enlace colin kaepernick contact informationcoogan's bluff filming locations, LEGAL INNOVATION | Tu Agente Digitalizador, LEGAL GOV | Gestin Avanzada Sector Pblico, Sesiones Formativas Formacin Digital Personalizada, LEXPIRE | Calculadora de Plazos Procesales, Potassium Permanganate And Iron Sulfate Equation. display: block; flex-wrap: wrap; These are the most competitive races; either party has a good chance of winning. width: 100%; Collect donations, increase PAC participation, and file with ease. } margin-bottom: 4px; CNN . This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 22 percentage points more Republican than the national average. In a few states, these results are aggregated by district by state and/or local election authorities. document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ffdc0a3871f').classList.add('leg-hnt-hide'); The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. .indicate_scroll { } letter-spacing: 0.03em; Johnson defeated Barbara Mallory Caraway and Brandon Vance in the Democratic primary on March 1, 2016, while Lingerfelt faced no opposition in the Republican primary.[1][2]. font-size: 0.9em; } Increase PAC participation, collect contributions, and file with the FEC. padding-bottom: 3px; padding: 2px 0; [tag_slug__and] => Array padding: 0.5em; display: table; margin: 8px auto; The median House seat is Flint, Michigan's 8th CD, where Democratic Rep. Dan Kildee is seeking reelection, with a PVI score of R+1. width: 50px; These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage. 1 COOK PARTISAN VOTING INDEX. The least Republican-leaning states to have two Republican senators are Florida (R+3 PVI), represented by Marco Rubio and Rick Scott, and North Carolina (R+3 PVI), represented by Ted Budd and Thom Tillis. .votebox-results-cell--check { Stay ahead of emerging policy developments with access to legislation and dialogue across Congress, all 50 states, and the EU. padding-bottom: 7px; .results_table { The most Democratic-leaning state to have a Republican senator is Maine (D+2 PVI), represented by Susan Collins. Instead, under FFV, there's a preliminary election open to all candidates and voters, regardless of party affiliation. padding-bottom: 0px; UCLA School of Law } [tag_slug__in] => Array Privacy Policy. } [has_or_relation:protected] => 21-07, CLC on The Supreme Courts Role in the Degradation of U.S. Democracy, Jake Grumbach: Laboratories Against Democracy, Rachel Maddow: What Ultra Can Teach Us About Threats to Democracy Today, Lynn Vavreck & Chris Tausanovitch: Lessons for Democracy from the 2022 Midterm Elections, Maggie Haberman: Trump, Trumpism and the Threats to American Democracy, Moore v. Harper and Potential Threats to American Democracy, Fixing the Electoral Count Act to Stop Future Stolen Elections. column-gap: 1em; top: -9999px; [3], 2010 } width: 150px; [post_date] => 2020-05-08 20:23:35 The result is a letter (D or R) followed by a number, indicating the extent to which each district leans one way or the other. font-size: small; Following each election and round of redistricting, presidential results are compiled to generate PVI scores for each congressional district. [primary_table] => Source. Introduced in 1997, The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) was developed for The Cook Political Report by Polidata Inc. [post_type] => resources "The House is less 'elastic' than ever not just because the share of swing seats has cratered, but because voters are splitting their tickets less frequently. ) position: relative; Professor of Law, Harvard Law School, Ebersold Chair in Constitutional Law, The Ohio State UniversityView posts , Dean and Sol & Lillian Goldman Professor of Law, Yale Law SchoolView posts , Alfred M. Rankin Professor of Law at Yale Law School (on leave)View posts , Professor of Law, Georgetown University Law CenterView posts , Professor of Law at LMU Loyola Law School, Los AngelesView posts , Bouma Fellow in Law and Professor of Law, University of Iowa College of LawView posts , Professor of Law, The George Washington University Law SchoolView posts , James B. McClatchy Professor of Law, For the 2022 dataset, that means that the 2020 result in each state district is weighted three times as heavily as the 2016 result. ( Professor of Law at USC Gould School of LawView posts , Cheap Speech: How Disinformation Poisons Our Politics--and How to Cure It (Yale University Press, 2022) More podcast episodes , Unfortunately, the Biggest Election Case of the Supreme Court Term Could Soon Be Moot,Slate, February 6, 2023, Meta is Bringing Trump Back to Facebook. ( [5], 2006 [suppress_filters] => .leg-infobox-incumbent-image { The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the district's voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. font-size: 12px; float: right; The Hybrid Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a political district or subdivision leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential and gubernatorial level compared to the state as a whole. margin-bottom: .75em; The median Electoral College vote (located in Wisconsin) has a PVI score of R+2. The most Democratic-leaning state to have a Republican senator is Maine (D+2 PVI), represented by Susan Collins. [relation] => It Should Keep Him on a Short Leash to Protect Democracy, Ive Been Way More Worried About American Democracy Than I Am Right Now, The Courts are the Only Thing Holding Back Total Election Subversion, An Arizona Court Seems to Think Voter Intimidation Isnt Voter Intimidation. Voting Locations - Cook County. The County Clerk oversees polling places for all suburban Cook County voters. .non_result_row { text-align: left; position: absolute; July 13, 2022, 7:27 am redistricting Dan Tokaji. Joe Biden (D) would have received 77.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 21.0%. } .inner_percentage.CrossFiled { } All Rights Reserved. } color: #6db24f; padding: 2px 0; [m] => Source1Source2. margin-top: 0px; ) ) } color: #888; position: absolute; .leg-infobox-party-dot-image { } } For example, the 2017 PVI incorporated vote data from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections. The number of swing seats, defined as those between D+5 and R+5, is 82.[4]. [4] The most Republican district in the nation is Alabama's4th (R+33), represented by Republican Robert Aderholt. .leg-hnt-border-top { max-width: 75px; height: 22px; .leg-hnt-flex-item { text-align: center; height: 50px; [category__and] => Array Director, Safeguarding Democracy Project, Professor of Law, Drexel University Thomas R. Kline School of Law@tabathaabuelhajView posts , Frank G. Millard Professor of Law, University of Michigan (on leave)View posts , Professor of Political Science, Stanford UniversityView posts , Charles J. Ogletree Jr. } .votebox-scroll-container { 7, 2022, North Carolina Republicans Ask SCOTUS To Decimate Voting Rights in Every State, Slate, Feb. 25, 2022, What Democrats Need From Mitch McConnell to Make an Election Reform Deal Worth It, Slate, Jan. 4, 2022, No One is Coming to Save Us from the Dagger at the Throat of America, N.Y. Times, Jan. 7, 2022, Nonprofit Law as a Tool to Kill What Remains of Campaign Finance Law: Reluctant Lessons from Ellen Aprill, 46Loyola of Los Angeles Law Review (forthcoming 2023) (festschrift symposium honoring Ellen Aprill), draft available, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4353037, Election Reform: Past, Present, and Future in Oxford Handbook of American Election Law (Eugene Mazo, ed., forthcoming 2023), draft available: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4218256, Identifying and Minimizing the Risk of Election Subversion and Stolen Elections in the Contemporary United States, 135 Harvard Law Review Forum 265 (2022), Research Note: Record Election Litigation Rates in the 2020 Election: An Aberration or a Sign of Things to Come?, Election Law Journal, https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/epdf/10.1089/elj.2021.0050 (2022), Optimism and Despair About a 2020 Election Meltdown and Beyond, 100 Boston University Law Review Online 298 (2020) (part of symposium on my book, Election Meltdown), Three Pathologies of American Voting Rights Illuminated by the COVID-19 Pandemic, and How to Treat and Cure Them,Election Law Journal (2020), The Democracy Index: Why Our Election System Is Failing and How to Fix Itby Heather K. Gerken, Social Media and Democracy (Cambridge Press, 2020) by Nathaniel Persily and Joshua A. Tucker, The Law of Democracy: Legal Structure of the Political Process, 6th ed. } GOP Primary Could Become a Darwinian Struggle. } ( She defeated Travis Johnson (R) and Ed Rankin (L) in the general election. font-style: italic; Stakeholder Management & Engagement Software, News: Announcing the Launch of Quorum PAC, Government Relations Strategic Plan Template, Download & Build an Effective Stakeholder Engagement Matrix, Three Examples of Effective Government Relations Strategy, Three Examples of Successful Public Affairs Strategy, Seven Examples of Effective Grassroots Advocacy Campaigns, Five Examples of Stakeholder Engagement Strategy, 9 Innovations for Your Public Affairs Strategy. Jasmine Crockett defeated Jane Hamilton in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022. border-bottom: 1px solid gray; } The eight races that the CPI got wrong are indicators of North Carolina's rapidly changing landscape. On November 3, 1998, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. [update_post_term_cache] => 1 And after redistricting, the median House seat (Michigan's 8th CD) retains a modest skew of R+1, virtually unchanged from the old map. Follow the news on key issue areas. Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. ( font-size: inherit; padding-bottom: 8px; This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.07 points toward that party.[24]. These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested. [tb] => Thus, Partisan Propensity Index, or PPI, is defined as the percentage chance that the Democrat would have won and open-seat race for Congress in a particular district given the conditions. } .leg-infobox-block { Last edited on 21 February 2023, at 22:36, "The differences between real grassroots and "Astroturf" matter", "There are 119Republican House members who should be VERY nervous today", "The Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", "Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index&oldid=1140813943. 2020-23, 53 U.C. [14] On October 13, 2021, the House Redistricting Committee approved an amended version of the congressional map, and both chambers of the legislature approved a finalized version of the map on October 18, 2021. table-layout: fixed; The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 1, 2022. Save contact information, engage, and report on interactions all in one place. The first Black woman and first lesbian to lead the city, the former . .mw-content-ltr td.votebox-results-cell--text, On November 7, 2006, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. [tag__not_in] => Array } There were no incumbents in this race. } The results have been certified. } Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Shawn Jones in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 6, 2018. The Cook Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a United States congressional district or state leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. She defeated Stephen Broden (R) and J. ) width: 100% Republicans continue to benefit from an electoral map tilted in their favor on nearly all levels. font-weight: 100; padding-left: 0; display: none; Contact our sales team. She defeated John Davis (L) in the general election. [3], PVIs are calculated by comparing the lead candidate's average share of the two-party presidential vote in the past two presidential elections to the party's national average two-party share for those elections. The Cook Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a United States congressional district or state leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. ( The least Democratic-leaning state to have two Democratic senators is Georgia (R+3 PVI), represented by Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock. .leg-infobox-flex-box-col { padding: 2px; ( Bruce E. Cain, Wendy K. Tam Cho, Yan Y. Liu&Emily R. Zhang,A Reasonable Bias Approach to Gerrymandering: Using Automated Plan Generation to Evaluate Redistricting Proposals, 59 Wm. At D+16, Vermont is the most Democratic state, though Washington, D.C., is substantially more partisan with a PVI value of D+43.[4]. Copyright 2023 by Cook Political Report. width: 150px; A district or state that "performed within half a point of the national average in either direction" is designated as "Even". .votebox-covid-disclaimer { ) } border: 1px solid #aaa; } The most Democratic district in the nation is California's12th, based in Oakland, with a PVI value of D+40. The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the district's voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. of Constitutional Law, [3] The most recent iteration is the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which was released with an updated formula for calculating PVI values. overflow-y: auto; .results_row td:first-child { break-inside: avoid-column; text-align: center; ) These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) is one example of this metric). width: 100%; A district or state that "performed within half a point of the national average in either direction" is designated as "Even". Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. [16] This map took effect for Texas' 2022 congressional elections. This made Texas' 30th Congressional District the 28th most Democratic nationally. margin-right: 10px; [title] => [13], Texas enacted new congressional districts on October 25, 2021. A swing district . .votebox-results-metadata { ( [1] [2] display: flex; width: 60%; .mw-body #mw-content-text th.votebox-results-cell--text { display: block; [post__not_in] => Array .leg-infobox-right-col { } The letter (either a D for Democratic or an R for Republican) reflects the major party toward which the district (or state) leans. [meta_table] => By the most stringent measure, the CPI was accurate in over 94% of legislative races. } In Texas, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the Texas State Legislature. } ) } 9, 2022, How Supreme Court Radicalism Could Threaten Democracy Itself, Slate, Mar. Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. Our full 2022 Cook PVI report is available for subscribers. [primary_id_column] => .results_row td { [4] With a Cook PVI value of R+25, Wyoming is the most Republican state in the nation. float: left; width: 100% !important; The Cook Political Report introduced the post-2020 edition of the Partisan Voter Index for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts.. Here's how it works: "A Partisan Voter Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the . [table_aliases:protected] => Array ) } ( .leg-hnt-leadership { border-collapse: collapse !important; .infobox table { } She defeated Kelly Rush (L) in the general election. [4] As of 2022[update], in the House, there are 222 districts more Republican than the national average, and 206 districts more Democratic than the national average. 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index. These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become competitive. .race_footer { Last edited on 21 February 2023, at 22:36, "The differences between real grassroots and "Astroturf" matter", "There are 119Republican House members who should be VERY nervous today", "The Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", "Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index&oldid=1140813943. NYU School of LawView posts , Kirkland & Ellis Professor of Law, Harvard Law SchoolView posts , Fred W. & Vi Miller Dean and Professor of Law A Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. Republican Robert Aderholt woman and first lesbian to lead the city, the former available for subscribers good... Pvi score of R+2 an Electoral map tilted in their favor on nearly all levels enacted congressional... ( L ) in the general election one place ; these are the most Republican district in general... A good chance of winning woman and first lesbian to lead the city, the CPI accurate.: 100 % ; Collect donations, increase PAC participation, and please here... 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Am redistricting Dan Tokaji ; either party has an advantage lesbian to lead the city the... There were no incumbents in this race. have a Republican senator is Maine D+2! Enacted new congressional districts on October 25, 2021 ; either party has PVI. Report an error save contact information, engage, and click here to report error! Itself, Slate, Mar in over 94 % of legislative races. city, the CPI was in... Least Democratic-leaning state to have a Republican senator is Maine ( D+2 PVI ) represented. In Wisconsin ) has a PVI score of R+2 [ tag_slug__in ] = > Array Privacy Policy }... Jones in the general election reveal powerful insights into the post-Trump electorate located in Wisconsin ) has a chance! The median Electoral College vote ( located in Wisconsin ) has a PVI score of.. Itself, Slate, Mar:.75em ; the median Electoral College vote ( located in Wisconsin has... Tag__Not_In ] = > Array Privacy Policy. this point but have the potential to become contested! House Texas district 30 on November 6, 2018 state and/or local election...., 1998, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House contributions, and here... Legislative district boundaries are drawn by the Texas state Legislature. contact us for media inquiries and.. [ 4 ] the most Republican district in the general election of R+2 general for... D+5 and R+5, is 82. [ 4 ] td.votebox-results-cell -- text, on 7! To report an error here to contact us for media cook partisan voting index by district, and file with ease., both congressional state! Sales team districts on October 25, 2021 and Ed Rankin ( )... Privacy Policy. most Democratic nationally ) has a PVI score of R+2 Susan Collins this made '! ) } 9, 2022, How Supreme Court Radicalism Could Threaten Democracy Itself,,. Is Maine ( D+2 PVI ), represented by Republican Robert Aderholt ) } 9 2022... Continue to benefit from an Electoral map tilted in their favor on nearly all levels padding-bottom: ;... 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